Friday, January 31, 2025

L.A. Strong- The Fire Aid concert and my "After the Fire" poem



The Red Hot Chili Peppers singing "Under the Bridge," a very personal song written by Anthony Keidis, about his home, the City of Angels, Los Angeles, California.  Fire Aid benefit concert, January 30, 2025.  The concert was a benefit for all the thousands of people affected by the terrible Pacific Palisades and Alta Dena fires of January 2025.  

Thank you firefighters!  
I watched them save the area I live in now, on the ground and in the air.  Thank you for your hard work.



Here are some of the ROCK highlights from the Fire Aid L.A. concert (These song/set videos are getting taken down or seriously shadow banned, but I'll link the best ones I can find now)

Nirvana Reunion- 4 songs- Surviving Nirvana members plus singers St. Vincent, Kim Gordon, Joan Jett, and Violet Grohl





P!nk sings Led Zepplin (cell phone video/poor quality)




A poet for most of my life, I wrote this poem while the fires were still burning. This is a rewrite of a poem I wrote while working with the Red Cross on the huge Rodeo Chedeski fires in Arizona in 2002. I lost that original poem.


After the fire


I thought it was a nightmare

When I awoke

It couldn’t be real

Some kind of tragic joke

But there I stood

Amid the char

The house, my life

Even my car

The grass crunched black

Beneath my shoes

I had my family

But no idea what to do

Lost… the house, furniture

Our pictures and things

We had each other, the kids

And our wedding rings

Everything got blurry

I could still smell the smoke

With a charred 9 iron

I began to poke

I hoped for something

Some item dear

To have survived the inferno

A small reason to cheer


Soot, ashes, charred pieces of wood

Shattered picture frames

I wanted not to cry, I wanted hope

I wanted someone to blame

Our home, now ruins

It just couldn’t be real

I found nothing to pick up

I didn’t know how to feel

The skeletons of trees

In our backyard

Black, crisp, and silent

Everything was charred

I rubbed my eyes

I screamed loud at God

Why did this happen?

It was all just too hard

That’s when I saw it

A single green blade of grass

A shoot of life among the black

The future surging from the past

I walked closer

By the sliver of green, I froze

Against the forces of hell

That blade of grass rose

It couldn’t shout or scream

That shoot simply grew

If that blade of grass could start over

I realized we could come back, too

It was tough, the weeks after

We began anew, step by step

The memory of that blade of grass

I clung to and kept

Each day a bit of progress

To replace the life we had lost


Little things meant much more now

We struggled, but it was worth the cost

Each new day we woke up

Then we figured out what to do

If that single, green blade of grass could grow back

We knew that we could, too


-The White Bear


(aka Steve Emig)

I'm doing most of my writing these days on Substack, you can check out more of my work there:

Wednesday, January 22, 2025

$10,000 Investment Challenge (paper trade) - 1/21/2025


 Apecoin.  Sold all the crypto in this paper trade experiment and bought more Apecoin.  Going to let them ride out the remainder of this crypto cycle...


This post is a paper trading (pretend) experiment, and should not be taken as financial advice.  Read the disclaimer above.

On December 11, 2023, I tried to open a crypto account, so I could get at least a little money into the market to take advantage of the current crypto cycle.  Because of my lame Obama phone, I wasn't able to transfer money into the account.  So I decided to do a paper trading experiment instead.  Here was the idea, " If I had $10,000 right now (12/11/2023), where would I invest it?"  Not just crypto, but any investment vehicle.  I began the paper trading experiment, a pretend account, then.  You can see the original post at this link.  I bought and sold a bit, and by March 11, 2024, this was my portfolio of cryptos:

.011995 BTC (Bitcoin)

.2259 Eth (Ethereum)

7.647 SOL (Solana)

56.931 AVAX (Avalanche)

74.962 DOT (Polkadot)

595.298 Matic (Polygon)

2,685.31 APE (Apecoin)

490.196  SAND(Sandbox)

510.204 MANA (Decentraland)

After March 2024, the portfolio was up about 40%, and I cashed out some of the positions, and bought other cryptos.  I saw no reason to "invest" in stocks, gold, or anything else.  From the very beginning, my timeline was what I believed would happen in crypto by late 2025 or early 2026.  That's still the timeline I'm following.  I just let everything ride, after March 2024.  

Yesterday, January 21, 2025, I decided to "sell" everything in this porfolio, except Apecoin, at the prices available about 12:45 pm Pacific time.  Again, this is just a pretend account, a "paper trading" experiment, to see how my ideas would perform.  Here are the prices I "sold" each crypto at yesterday (1/21/2025):

Bitcoin (BTC) - $105,950.64

Ethereum (ETH)- $3,308.78

Solana (SOL) - $253.79

Polygon (Matic) - $ .45

Sandbox (SAND)- $ .59

Decentraland (MANA) - $ .50

Polkadot (DOT) - $6.70

Avalanche (AVAX) - $37.03

That pretend (again, this is a paper trading experiment) sale yielded $7,244.01, less 5% estimated gas fees, for a total of $6,881.81

That left my portfolio with just 2,685 Apecoin (APE)  

and $6,881.81 in cash

I took the proceeds and bought 6,000 more Apecoin (APE) at $1.03 each, which cost $6,180, plus a 5% gas fee, for a total of $6,489

So now, just over 13 months into my "$10,000 Investment Challenge" my portfolio consists of:

8,685.31 Apecoin (APE) 

and $392.81 cash in the account

Total value after 13+ months, Apecoin and cash, equals $9338.63

So the account is down about $660 from the original $10,000 at this point, but I'm 100% OK with that, since Apecoin is out of favor right now, and sitting at $1.03 per coin.  APE peaked at around $27, and hovered between $3 and $7 for much of its lifetime.  I have faith in Yuga Labs, creators of the Bored Ape Yacht Club NFT's, Mutant Ape NFT's, the Otherside NFT/gaming metaverse, and, of course, Apecoin, the unit of trade in all those realms.  So I'm going all in on Apecoin at this point for my $10,000 investment challenge.  Again, this is a paper trade, a pretend experiment, and should not be taken as financial advice.

Here are links to all the posts for my $10,000 Investment Challenge:

$10,000 Investment Challenge- December 11, 2023

$10,000 Investment Challenge- December 21, 2023

$10,000 Investment Challenge- February 21, 2024

$10,000 Investment Challenge- February 28, 2024

$10,000 Investment Challenge- March 11, 2024


I do most of my writing on Substack now, a platform designed specifically for writers.  Check it out:

Steve Emig The White Bear Substack

Saturday, January 18, 2025

Before Day 1 2025- Economic levels and prices As Donald Trump takes office in 2025


Tariffs.  Sweeping tariffs are a big, and widely feared, part of Donald Trump's agenda to start his second term as president of the United States.  It's Saturday, January 18th, 2025 as I'm writing this post.  Donald Trump takes office next Monday.  Will Trump's tariff plan work?  Will it help or hurt American consumers?  The teacher above from the movie Ferris Bueller's Day Off  (1987) explains to an enthralled high school class how tariffs didn't work well during The Great Depression.  But hey, that was 95 years ago.  Maybe they'll work this time.  Who knows?  

The pandemic response of 2020-2021, where the U.S. government tossed out about $6 trillion in "helicopter money" to nearly everyone, led to inflation soaring to over 9% officially (12 to 15% unofficially) in 2021 and 2022.  So a lot of people have been bitching about the higher prices, blaming them on president Biden.  As we head into a new, and very much different, administration, I thought it would be interesting to look at a bunch of prices and economic markers, so we can see how things changed in the coming few years.  

Economic and financial market levels on January 18th, 2025, the weekend before Donald Trump begins his second term.

U. S. Debt- $36,367,158,000,000  ($36.3 trillion dollars- U.S. Debt Clock

Debt per citizen- $106,943 (U.S. Debt Clock)

U.S. Federal Deficit- $2,004,446,000000  (Just over $2 trillion- U.S. Debt Clock)

Inflation- 

U.S. CPI (December 2024)- 2.9%  

Truflation- 2.85% (January 21, 2025- Truflation website)

U.S. Unemployment rates- 

U3 unemployment- 4.1% (December 2024)

U6 unemployment- 7.4% (December 2024)

Stock indices- 

Dow Jones Industrial Average- 43,487  (CNBC- close of market, Friday 1/17/2025)

Nasdaq 100 index- 19,630 (CNBC- close of market, Friday 1/17/2025)

S&P 500 index- 5,996 (CNBC- close of market, Friday 1/17/2025)

Economic benchmarks-  

10 year U.S. Treasury- 4.623% (CNBC- close of market, Friday 1/17/2025)

30 year fixed mortgage average- 7.11% (Google search answer)

WTI oil price per barrel- $78.04 (CNBC- close of market, Friday 1/17/2025)

Gold- $2,703 per Troy ounce (Gold-Eagle website)

Silver- $30.40 per Troy ounce (Gold-Eagle website) 

U.S. Dollar index- DXY- 109.405

Bitcoin- $104,197 per Bitcoin

Ethereum- $3,266 per Eth

Solana- $254.64

Euro to U.S. Dollar- 102.71  ($1.02 to 1 Euro- CNBC)

U.S. Dollar to Japanese yen- 156.3 yen- to 1 dollar

U.S. Dollar to Chinese yuan- 7.32 yuan- to 1 dollar

U.S. national average gas price- $3.12 (Gas prices AAA)

Stocks- 

Trump Media stock price- $40.03

"The Magnificent 7" stock prices

Nvidia stock price- $131.71

Apple stock price- $229.98

Microsoft stock price- $429.03

Alphabet (Google) stock price- $197.55

Amazon stock price- $225.94

Meta (Facebook) stock price- $612.77

Tesla stock price- $426.50  

Other stocks- 

McDonald's- $280.95

Walmart- $91.94

Target- $133.61

Ford Motor Company- $10.18

General Electric- $182.85

Stellantis- $12.88


Common food and household products- I checked these prices 1/21/2025

One gallon whole milk- $4.49 ($3.99 with card- Ralph's grocery store in Sherman Oaks, CA)

One dozen Grade AA Large Eggs- $8.99 (Ralph's in Sherman Oaks)

One pound of hamburger (80/20)- $6.49/lb.  (Ralph's in Sherman Oaks)

Box of Kellogg's Corn Flakes (Family size- 24 oz.)- $7.99 (Ralph's in Sherman Oaks)

McDonald's Big Mac- $5.89 (McDonald's in Sherman Oaks, higher price in Encino)

McDonald's Egg McMuffin- $4.69 (McDonald's in Sherman Oaks, higher in Encino)

4-pack of toilet paper (Angel Soft)- $5.49 (Ralph's in Sherman Oaks)

Jiffy Peanut Butter (creamy, 16 oz.)- $3.79


I do most of my writing now on a platform called Substack, designed specifically for writers, check it out:









Wednesday, January 15, 2025

Meat Loaf - Rock n' Roll Thespian



This video above is a "Celebration of Life" video made by Meatloaf's daughters, Pearl and Amanda, working with a filmmaker, one year after their father passed away.  Born Marvin Lee Aday, he changed his name to Michael Lee Aday, and was dubbed "Meat," by his father as a stocky toddler.  But to the rest of us he was the singer and actor called Meat Loaf.  He died at age 74 on January 20, 2022.

This song below was my introduction to Meatloaf, played on a ghetto blaster on the school bus in Holiday Lakes, outside of Willard, Ohio, on the way to junior high.  It was late 1977 or early 1978.  The spoken intro to this song blew our young minds.  "On a hot summer night, would you offer your throat to the wolf with the red roses?"  



I've been a fan of Meat Loaf's music since high school, in the early 1980's.  But it was a weird series of events that led me to write this blog post.  I love it when that happens.  Since I have a dark sense of humor, I played several versions of the classic country song, "Ring of Fire" last Thursday.  I was hanging out down in Orange County for a couple of days when the horrific Palisades and Eaton fires, along with 4 or 5 smaller fires, sparked up during the Santa Ana windstorm last week (January 8 , 2025).  I've been living in the San Fernando Valley for about five years now, and when I got back, The Valley was surrounded by these fires.  When I got back on a computer, I listened to several songs about fire, before checking the news.

One of those versions of "Ring of Fire" I played, just to listen to myself, was June Carter Cash on the Johnny Carson (Tonight) Show in 1980, singing the original version she wrote and recorded.  Much to my surprise, June said Blondie had done a cover of the song.  Huh?  Blondie covered "Ring of Fire?"  So I had to look that up.  That led me to this video, Debbie Harry singing "Ring of Fire" with Blondie as a country band.  I had never seen, or even heard, of that version of the song before.  At the beginning of this video, Blondie kisses a guy in a cowboy hat on the cheek, and that guy is Meatloaf.  Following that lead, I learned Meatloaf starred in a movie called Roadie in 1980, featuring the band Blondie.  That was also news to me.  

Then I listened to one of the Meatloaf songs that popped up on the right side of YouTube.  That video brought up the tribute to Meatloaf by his daughters on the side of the screen, the video embedded at the top of this post.  Since I'm not writing many posts about my days in BMX freestyle anymore, the posts I do write on this blog often come from some random thing I find, or stumble into.  Like learning that Meatloaf  starred in a movie with Blondie where they covered "Ring of Fire."  Wandering through the interwebs, an idea for a blog post sparked in the little hamster wheel inside my brain, and a blog post was born.  

Digging into a singer I thought I knew pretty well, I found a whole bunch more work by Meat Loaf I didn't know existed, and that's what these blog posts are all about.  Meat Loaf got his start singing on Broadway in the play Hair, and went on to play Eddie in the The Rocky Horror Show stage play, and later in The Rocky Horror Picture Show movie, possibly the cult classic movie of all time.  Meat Loaf also performed in Shakespeare in the Park in New York City.  Auditioning for another play in New York City, he met playwrite and songwriter ,Jim Steinman, and a creative team for the ages was born.  Jim Steinman wrote all the songs for the album Bat Out of Hell, which launched Meat Loaf's singing career, a long with the later "Bat" albums, # 2 & 3.  

Meat Loaf sold over 100 million records.  The original Bat Out of Hell album has sold over 44 million copies alone.  He recorded 12 studio albums, 7 compilation albums, 1 EP, and put out 39 singles.  At age 46, his recording of the Steinman song "I'd Do Anything For Love (But I Won't Do That)" went to #1 on the U.S. Billboard Hot 100 chart, it was #1 in 27 other countries, and won a Grammy.  In addition to recording and touring, Meat Loaf appeared in over 50 movies.  Through all of that, he was a husband and a dad to daughters Pearl and Amanda.  

Next Monday, January 20th, will be the second anniversary of Meat Loaf's death at age 74.  It's President's Day that day.  I don't think there's much on TV that day, so why don't you dive into all of these links below, and enjoy some of the work of this amazing artist, actor, and singer.  

Here's a look at some of the work Meatloaf did in his seven and a half decades on this planet.  

Music- Best known songs, all written by Jim Steinman


"Bat out of Hell"   (Over 44 million copies sold of Bat Out Of Hell album)

"Two Out of Three Ain't Bad" - with Melbourne Symphony Orchestra

"I'd Do Anything For Love"  (#1 in 28 countries and won Meat Loaf a Grammy)


"Objects in the Rearview Mirror" - Meat Loaf accompanied by Jim Steinman on piano



Interviews- 





Concert movies





Meat Loaf - Live in Sydney (Guilty Pleasure Tour) - 2011

Music- Other songs he sang over the years


"Torna a Sorrento" - duet with Luciano Pavarotti

"Jailhouse Rock" - Tribute to Elvis Presley

"Dead Ringer for Love" - 1980's duet with Cher

"Rock n' Roll Paradise" - with Todd Rundgren in 1982

"Mercury Blues - Gimme Shelter"  ("Gimme Shelter" is cover of The Rolling Stones song)


"Nowhere Fast"- early 1980's cover of the main song from the movie Streets of Fire 

"You Took the Words Right Out of My Mouth"  - with Rick Derringer on TV- 1987

Music videos he appeared in

Blondie- "Ring of Fire" - from the movie Roadie, which Meatloaf starred in

Talking Heads - "Wild, Wild Life" - That's either Meatloaf or John Goodman at 1:15, IMDB says it Meat Loaf, but it looks more like John Goodman to me

TV and Comedy



Movies Meat Loaf starred in

Roadie - 1980 (Full movie)

Dead Ringer the Movie- 1981 (Full movie)

Meat Loaf Hell and Back - TV movie- 2000

Movies Meat Loaf appeared in.  He appeared in more than 50 of them.   Let's start with two of the great cult classic movies of all time... Rocky Horror Picture Show and Fight Club



Fight Club - (1999) - Meatloaf played Bob

Wayne's World - Tiny, the doorman at a club

Spice World - Dennis, the tour bus driver



All of these links are only part of the work Meat Loaf did, and of what's now available to view online.



I do most of my writing on Substack these days, a platform designed specifically for writers.  Check it out:






Saturday, January 11, 2025

Fire storm Los Angeles- The Palisades, Eaton, and other wildfires of January 2025


This is video of the early part of the firefight of the Pacific Palisades fire, from January 8th, 2025.  The fire was just beginning to spread rapidly at that point, with high winds, sometimes reaching 80 to 100 mph, pushing it through brush and homes, after a winter season with almost no rainfall for most of Southern California. 

As I write this post, just to document Los Angeles' most devastating fires ever, in loss of homes and structures, the Palisades Fire is one of several fires currently burning north of L.A..  This fire is still burning three days later, has burned over 21,000 acres, and is beginning to burn homes in Brentwood, far to the east, right now.  Well over a thousand homes and structures are burned to the ground in Pacific Palisades and Malibu.  I'm writing this post mostly as documentation of what's going on here.  

The other really big and devastating fire, the Eaton Fire, has burned over 17,000 acres in the Alta Dena and Pasadena area, one report says over 5,000 homes and structures have been lost.  Eleven people are known to have died in the fires at this point.  Both fires now (January 11, 2025) have 15% or less containment.  Here are more links, as these two big fires, and 3 or 4 smaller fires, rage on.  Winds have calmed today, allowing planes and helicopters to really get into action fighting the fires.  Stronger winds, offshore Santa Ana winds, are expected to pick back up tonight.  Here are more links:






R.I.P. Val Kilmer

Here's Val Kilmer as Thomas Van Allen, who is living as Danny Parker, in the Pooh Bear breakfast scene in the little known movie, The Sa...